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War And Chance

War And Chance

Uncertainty surrounds every major decision in international politics. Yet there is almost always room for reasonable people to disagree about what that uncertainty entails. No one can reliably predict the outbreak of armed conflict, forecast economic recessions, anticipate terrorist attacks, or esti

ISBN10 : 9780190938048 , ISBN13 : 0190938048

Page Number : 272

War And Chance

War And Chance

Over the past two decades, the most serious problems with U.S. foreign policy have revolved around the challenge of assessing uncertainty. Past experiences have shown that there is an urgent need to find ways of improving the ways in which foreign policy analysts assess uncertainty, and the ways in

ISBN10 : 0190938056 , ISBN13 : 9780190938055

Page Number :

Luck

Luck

Luck touches us all. "Why me?" we complain when things go wrong—though seldom when things go right. But although luck has a firm hold on all our lives, we seldom reflect on it in a cogent, concerted way. In Luck, one of our most eminent philosophers offers a realistic view of the nature and operat

ISBN10 : 9780822972273 , ISBN13 : 0822972271

Page Number : 256

The Fear Factor

The Fear Factor

How the brains of psychopaths and heroes show that humans are wired to be good At fourteen, Amber could boast of killing her guinea pig, threatening to burn down her home, and seducing men in exchange for gifts. She used the tools she had available to get what she wanted, like all children. But unli

ISBN10 : 9781541697201 , ISBN13 : 1541697200

Page Number : 320

Cult Of The Irrelevant

Cult Of The Irrelevant

How professionalization and scholarly “rigor” made social scientists increasingly irrelevant to US national security policy To mobilize America’s intellectual resources to meet the security challenges of the post–9/11 world, US Secretary of Defense Robert M. Gates observed that “we must ag

ISBN10 : 9780691181219 , ISBN13 : 0691181217

Page Number : 368

Secret Wars

Secret Wars

Secret Wars is the first book to systematically analyze the ways powerful states covertly participate in foreign wars, showing a recurring pattern of such behavior stretching from World War I to U.S.-occupied Iraq. Investigating what governments keep secret during wars and why, Austin Carson argues

ISBN10 : 9780691184241 , ISBN13 : 0691184240

Page Number : 344